But many analysts are asking what effects – both positive and negative – could the digital yuan have on the broader fintech ecosystem. Late 2016 saw one of the first tests of the digital yuan, with further efforts validated through the creation of a Digital Currency Research Institute (DCRI) in mid-2017.
Patent filings by the DCRI in 2018 indicated a further interest in honing the development of a digital currency and the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) purportedly led test runs of the digital yuan in late 2019. In late August 2020, China Construction Bank (CCB) quietly rolled out a central bank digital currency wallet feature inside its mobile app. Some users were even able to make small transactions by linking their CCB accounts to this digital yuan wallet.
Although this feature was quickly disabled soon after its soft launch, the very notion that one of the four “big banks” in China had actually designed such a wallet within its ecosystem highlights the leaps and bounds that China has made with developing its own home-grown digital currency.
Today, China’s e-payments industry is currently led by Ant Group’s Alipay and Tencent’s WeChat Pay. Ant Group, previously known as Ant Financial, is an affiliate of Alibaba Group Holding.
However, China retains a dynamic and thriving fintech ecosystem, with a flexible regulatory regime combined with widespread usage of mobile phone transactions, cited as two significant factors behind this growth.
China also currently leads the world in fintech adoption and investment, with the country accounting for 46 per cent of all fintech investments in 2018.
Beijing’s enthusiasm for a sovereign digital currency was originally prompted by the rapid digitisation of the country’s commercial transactions and the extraordinary rise of cryptocurrencies, such as bitcoin.
However, it is increasingly being driven by Beijing’s ambition to prepare for what may become the future of the international monetary system, amid decoupling threats and potential financial sanctions from the United States, according to analysts.
The disclosed details of the DCEP indicate it will have a two-tier structure with central bank control – the PBOC would issue the money to commercial banks, which would then provide it to individuals through their e-wallet accounts.
While the exact technical approach and privacy settings remain unclear, it is speculated that the currency will sit in the Alipay and WeChat Pay wallets alongside other balances.
This could shrink the space that less dominant fintech operators such as AsiaPay, PayPal, UnionPay, and others work in, effectively forcing them to use these two dominant systems over smaller, industry-specific ecosystems.
China’s digital currency also has the potential to disrupt the global fintech market. The digital yuan’s ease-of-use could usher in increased international entity usage of the yuan throughout the globe, with such a cryptocurrency being able to bypass the strict regulations and conservative nature of traditional banking institutions.
This could present a direct challenge to the US dollar as the premier global currency. Growth of the digital yuan could also raise privacy concerns –currently a thorny issue in US-China relations.
So, while the development of the digital yuan is definitely exciting to see, there are still a lot of unknowns and some concerns that it could risk creating bottlenecks with regards to China’s fintech industry at-large. A healthy implementation should encourage smaller players and ongoing innovation.